Showing posts with label panic. Show all posts
Showing posts with label panic. Show all posts

Monday, 13 July 2009

Swine 'flu: how bad might it get?

Some may think it ironic that I have had a lighter-than-expected afternoon, thanks to a meeting being cancelled due to some attendees having possible Swine 'flu, given that I was blogging rather cynically last week about the measures being suggested by our bishops to contact the disease.

To me, this whole exercise reeks of King Canute and the tide, except that he had the sense to realize it couldn't be stopped from coming in and was simply making a point to his more enthusiastic courtiers.

Someone (I think it was on Radio 4 this morning) described Swine 'flu as 'a story that was failing to live up to expectations'. Others, however, think I am not taking it seriously enough.

So how bad might it get? As it happens, we can get a good idea from a written answer by the then-Secretary of State for Health, given in October 2007 to the Shadow Secretary, Andrew Lansley, who asked (inter alia), "how many deaths resulting from influenza infection there were in each year since 1979". This is from her reply:

Estimated excess deaths due to influenza in England and Wales
Influenza season Number of excess deaths
1988-89 358
1989-90 26,945
1990-91 8,125
1991-92 5,967
1992-93 1,687
1993-94 14,544
1994-95 2,480
1995-96 16,241
1996-97 21,770
1997-98 0
1998-99 17,982
1999-2000 22,040
2000-01 1,067
2001-02 7,078
2002-03 6,559
2003-04 5,207
2004-05 1,795
2005-06 0

The last official epidemic, it will be noted, resulted in over 22,000 deaths. So far, Swine 'flu has managed a UK total of 17.

Now we may well be on the way to a parallel situation to 1999-2000, or even to 1989-90, when almost 27,000 died, and I think even I caught it. (Unlike most men, I rarely get 'flu.)

My point is, however, that even in a 'fallow year' like 2004-05, almost 2,000 died of 'flu and no great measures were urged on the churches or anyone else, and there were no headlines. In fact, unless Swine 'flu deaths get up around the several thousand mark, we would surely have to regard it as nothing out of the ordinary - would we not?

John Richardson
13 July 2009

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Saturday, 11 July 2009

Flu Pandemics and Health Panics

Ed: Is it me, or is there something of the 'Corporal Jones' ("Don't panic! Don't panic!") about this ad clerum (a letter to all the Diocesan Clergy). OK, so we're at an eight-year low for influenza, but really, face masks and aprons for clergy sick-visiting? Still, I'm beginning to see why we need a sixth bishop in Chelmsford (as is currently being proposed).

The Bishop of Chelmsford

Ad Clerum

July 8th 2009

To all clergy in the Diocese of Chelmsford

The Department of Health has announced that the management of the Swine Flu Pandemic has changed from the 'Containment' to 'Treatment' phase. This has implications for the churches' response to the pandemic, and I am therefore issuing new directions to all parish clergy on how to respond to the various needs which will arise as a result of this.

1. Churches should continue to take services and conduct business as normal, and use stringent hygiene measures for use with the chalice or common cup: the use of antibacterial gel is recommended before handling the bread and chalices, as well as wiping the chalice with a clean, dry purificator between communicants. There is no immediate need to change this policy. Should Government advice change with a further increase in the level of alert, you will be notified, and further advice will be given. If you are able to check the Diocesan website, any changes will immediately be placed there. Please note that the practice of intinction (dipping the bread in the wine) and giving communion directly onto the tongue are strongly discouraged. These customs increase the possibility of spreading the virus.

2. Clergy should be asked to give clear advice (in Sunday Notices, parish magazines etc) to members of their congregation who may be showing flu-like symptoms not to attend church services or other meetings. (Symptoms do not normally last for more than 7-10 days.) Hygiene in church should continue to be taken very seriously, and churches may wish to consider providing bins for used tissues (not the open waste-paper bin type, but a closed top, pedal or swing top bin.) Further information can be found on www.nhsdirect.nhs.uk

3. Some churches have a stoup for holy water near the entrance to the church door, and people are invited to dip a finger in this, and to make the sign of the cross as a reminder of their baptism. The water contained in stoups can easily become a source of infection and a means of rapidly spreading the virus. This practice should be suspended. Holy water stoups should be emptied and cleaned thoroughly, and not used until the pandemic alert is over.

4. The "Flu Friend" (or Flu Buddy") system will provide help for people who have been diagnosed positive for Swine Flu. Parishes are in a unique position to be able to offer help for congregation members and parishioners. The incumbent, parish administrator, or some other suitable person may be able to act as "Flu Friend Co-ordinator" in the parish, and their details could be posted in Parish Magazines, Pewslips, etc. Suitable people may be recruited to fulfil this role. This would mean that if someone receives a positive diagnosis for Swine Flu, they could contact that "Flu Friend Co-ordinator" who could put them in touch with a local "Flu Friend". This person would be able to pick up prescribed medication on their behalf (a voucher or individual code is given when a positive diagnosis is made) and deliver it to them. In some cases, where people live on their own, they may also need some help with shopping. Clear guidance is available for "Flu Friends", but they should be advised not to enter the house, or to have direct contact with the infected person.

5. Pastoral visits and Home Communion for people who have been infected, by clergy or pastoral assistants is strongly discouraged. Contact by telephone, internet, or other means is to be encouraged! The risk of infection is very high, and a priest making a series of pastoral visits could spread infection, as well as being susceptible to becoming infected.

6. Special caution is urged when taking Holy Communion to Residential Homes. If anyone in the community has flu-like symptoms, it may be prudent to give communion in only one kind to the congregation, or those receiving communion in their own rooms. The priest alone should drink wine from the chalice. Congregations may need assurance that in receiving Holy Communion in one kind in no way suggests that they are not receiving the fullness of Christ’s presence in the Sacrament.

7. When a pastoral visit is absolutely necessary - if someone is so ill that they may be close to death, then very great care must be taken to prevent exposure to the virus. The virus is currently perceived as relatively mild, and for most people the symptoms will not be life-threatening, though people who are at high risk, because of a compromised immune system, or other health conditions may be more vulnerable. It must be noted that such people are likely to remain at home, as hospitals will not have the capacity to isolate and care for large numbers of people who are infected with the virus. In these cases clergy visiting infected people should wear personal protection equipment, including sterile gloves, apron, and face mask. If a priest gives communion (host only) without wearing sterile gloves, they should wash carefully with hot water and antibacterial soap immediately afterwards. If a priest anoints someone who has the symptoms of pandemic flu, special precautions should be taken. Never dip your finger back in the oil during the anointing, and do not use the same purificator at separate anointings. It is a good idea to use a swab of cotton wool for each separate anointing, and dispose of it safely afterwards.

It is not our intention at this stage to cause panic, or to exaggerate the seriousness of the situation. I believe that the measures I have outlined above will assist the churches in providing appropriate support in our congregations and parishes, whilst doing all that we are reasonably able to, to combat the spread of the infection.

With my prayers as we all struggle to respond, as well as we are able, to the difficult situation we are facing in this major health alert.

+John Chelmsford

PANDEMIC FLU

Checklist


1. Receiving Communion.

· Provide antibacterial gel for ablutions before handling bread or communion wafers

· Notify the congregation that they should not dip their communion wafers in the Chalice

· Do not give communion directly onto the tongue

· Wipe the chalice with a clean purificator between each communicant. If the purificator becomes damp, use a new purificator.

· Clean chalices thoroughly with hot soapy water after use.

· Do not use chalices of pottery/ceramic or semi-porous material.

· People may, if they so wish, receive communion in one kind.

2. Congregation members with symptoms

· Advise congregation members who have flu-like symptoms to stay at home (Verbal notices, as well as Newsletters, parish magazines, etc.)

· Provide bins in churches (with lids) for people to dispose of soiled tissues

· Place posters in toilet facilities (“Catch it, Bin it, Kill it”). Posters in A3 and A4 formats can be downloaded from the Department of Helath website: http://www.dh.gov.uk/en/Publicationsandstatistics/Publications/PublicationsPolicyAndGuidance/DH_080839

3. Holy Water Stoups

· Empty and thoroughly clean Holy Water stoups, and ensure that these are not used until you are advised that these may once again be used.

4. Flu Friend

· Appoint a “Flu Friend Co-ordinator” and volunteer “Flu Friends”.

5. Ministry to the Sick

· Provide Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) in case this is needed for ministry to the sick. Gloves, facemasks, aprons are available from internet suppliers.

· Ensure cotton wool is available if anointing is needed.

· Carry bottles of antibacterial gel for personal use.

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